If the earth formed 4.5 billion years ago and life appeared 3.8 billion years ago than it took 0.7 billion years for life to evolve from nonliving chemicals. 0.7 billion translates into 700 million years. So when we go by years, the chances of life coming from no life are 1 in 700 million. Let’s break it down more. Lets say the chemicals are mixed every hour. This brings the chances down to about 1 in 6.1 trillion. If we break it down to seconds we come up with 1 in 527 trillion.
Let’s compare this to the lottery. Let’s say the lottery is $1 per ticket and is currently at 34 million. This means you have less than a 1 in 34 million chance of winning it. This means you will win the lottery 15.5 million times before life forms from nonliving chemicals. Under the above circumstances you would need to buy one lottery ticket very second for 700 million years to win it 15.5 million times. Considering you have a better chance of getting struck by lightning twice than winning the lottery, be careful!
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